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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | joseph00677 | mildwindow27 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 40% (4814–7346, n=12160) | 66% (870–454, n=1324) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $5.6M | $62K | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #386 | PM monthly #12 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 76% (124 of 164 open) | 69% (25 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | Weather −3 pts, n=970 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 42% of 4506 at avg 44¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 54% (won 1% of 2428) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 3% (won 41% of 116) | 20% (won 40% of 253) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 4% (won 56% of 202) | 24% (won 57% of 310) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 39% (won 96% of 1760) | 43% (won 93% of 544) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | joseph00677 | mildwindow27 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $314 | No $7.4K |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $34 | No $161 |