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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | ndb1 | NeverLoseBet | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 48% (87–95, n=182) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | $4.1M | -$362K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #12 | was PM monthly #483 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 74% (28 of 38 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | NFL −34 pts, n=15 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 48% of 177 at avg 54¢, ROI −7% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 7% (won 23% of 13) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 39% (won 35% of 69) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 28% (won 54% of 50) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 25% (won 69% of 45) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | ndb1 | NeverLoseBet | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $844K | Yes $2.0K | — |