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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
betdgeferrariChampions2026ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)42% (8–11, n=19)32% (12–26, n=38)no settled market75% (9–3, n=12)
Consensus PnL$2.3K-$22K$0$84K
Tracked asPM monthly #616was PM monthly #87PM monthly #110PM monthly #40
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (5 of 9 open)74% (67 of 90 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −3 pts, n=611—NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won49% of 2726 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 18% of 464)4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 40% of 998)26% (won 100% of 1446)18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 60% of 926)40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 86% of 338)30% (won 100% of 1675)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.