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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
betwithconvicbeachboy400gringo000x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Record (consensus markets)57% (488–367, n=855)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)41% (1101–1610, n=2711)
Consensus PnL$36K$5.8M$3.5M$2.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #331was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #410
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position57% (33 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicMLB ±0 pts, n=240NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won58% of 794 at avg 55¢, ROI +11%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%—
Entries under 30¢5% (won 17% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)0%—
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 48% of 210)29% (won 56% of 62)0%—
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 59% of 432)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 87% of 116)14% (won 86% of 29)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbetwithconvicbeachboy400gringo000x53757615de1c42b83f893b79d4241a009dc2aeea
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $65—Yes $1.3K