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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| big8betz | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 25% (1–3, n=4) | 50% (93–93, n=186) | no settled market | 47% (158–181, n=339) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.5K | $41K | — | -$54K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #216 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #156 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (26 of 41 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | Soccer −5 pts, n=26 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | NFL −8 pts, n=71 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 86 at avg 49¢, ROI +10% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 18% of 11) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 19% (won 10% of 96) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 33% (won 43% of 28) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 21% (won 35% of 105) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 70% of 43) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 27% (won 54% of 132) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 50% of 4) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 33% (won 91% of 163) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | big8betz | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Portland Pilots | — | Portland Pilots $3.0K | — | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors $16 |
| Brisbane 3: Enzo Aguiard vs Akira Santillan same side · consensus Akira Santillan | — | Akira Santillan $2.2K | — | Akira Santillan $2.2K |
| W75 Brisbane: Sohyun Park vs Naiktha Bains same side · consensus Sohyun Park | — | Naiktha Bains $260 | — | Naiktha Bains $181 |