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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
binkybarnes55RN1BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)52% (579–524, n=1103)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL-$67K$13.4M$10.6M$4.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #637PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)67% (4 of 6 open)90% (148 of 165 open)50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −5 pts, n=423——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won53% of 1168 at avg 55¢, ROI −3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 19% of 84)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 41% of 301)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢51% (won 55% of 591)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 78% of 192)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbinkybarnes55RN1BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.7K——Yes $7.4K