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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
binkybarnes55RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)52% (579–524, n=1103)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL-$67K$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #637PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus50% (2 of 4 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicEsports −5 pts, n=423——
Settled positions, side won53% of 1168 at avg 55¢, ROI −3%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 19% of 84)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 41% of 301)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢51% (won 55% of 591)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 78% of 192)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.