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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bisoussBreakTheBankRN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)15% (2–11, n=13)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$125K$10.6M$13.4M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #163PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)89% (146 of 164 open)83% (5 of 6 open)67% (4 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCrypto −15 pts, n=10——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won11% of 19 at avg 20¢, ROI +30%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢74% (won 0% of 14)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 0% of 3)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢5% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.