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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
blahblah34400gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$90K$3.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #989was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)67% (6 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢—0%36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketblahblah34400gringo00BreakTheBankprimm
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $465KBroncos $7.4K