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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| boyau | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (168–245, n=413) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) |
| Consensus PnL | $799K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #392 | PM monthly #101 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (20 of 27 open) | 70% (106 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 408 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 10% of 242) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 58% of 60) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 75% of 53) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 53) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $68K | No $29K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $5.7K | No $42K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | No $679 |