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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| boyau | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (169–244, n=413) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) |
| Consensus PnL | $802K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #371 | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 82% (23 of 28 open) | 72% (54 of 75 open) | 56% (44 of 78 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 37% of 411 at avg 31¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 59% (won 10% of 242) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 15% (won 59% of 61) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 13% (won 74% of 54) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 100% of 54) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | boyau | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $69K | No $29K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $6.0K | No $42K | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? same side · consensus No | No $15K | No $678 | — |