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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cat-dogRN100gringo00primm
Record (consensus markets)76% (106–33, n=139)48% (12899–14013, n=26912)75% (6–2, n=8)50% (969–959, n=1928)
Consensus PnL$43K$13.4M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #978PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (5 of 5 open)67% (6 of 9 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won69% of 134 at avg 59¢, ROI +14%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 24% of 37)10% (won 56% of 2534)0%5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 61% of 18)22% (won 94% of 5497)0%41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 69% of 16)36% (won 99% of 8897)100% (won 86% of 7)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 98% of 63)31% (won 100% of 7736)0%5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketcat-dogRN100gringo00primm
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Steelers $14—Steelers $963