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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| cm2897 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 51% (1419–1353, n=2772) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) |
| Consensus PnL | $70K | $3.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #359 | PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #47 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 73% (53 of 73 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 2045 at avg 50¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 24% (won 7% of 481) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 41% of 531) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 412) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 61% of 562) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 50% (won 99% of 503) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 90% of 471) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | cm2897 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus James Madison | Southern Miss $55 | — | James Madison $1.6K |
| Spread: James Madison (-17.5) same side · consensus James Madison | James Madison $875 | — | James Madison $1.4K |
| Spread: James Madison (-16.5) same side · consensus James Madison | James Madison $490 | — | James Madison $550 |