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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
cryingbabydicer87ndb1
Record (consensus markets)44% (6406–8052, n=14458)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$19K$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #699PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus87% (129 of 148 open)68% (49 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicCrypto −2 pts, n=3988NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won49% of 4313 at avg 51¢, ROI 0%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢42% (won 8% of 1831)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 39% of 590)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 72% of 363)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 96% of 1529)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketcryingbabydicer87ndb1
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $13No $83K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $46Yes $2.7M
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $19No $42K
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $10No $31K
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $11No $30K
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $29No $29K
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $15No $25K
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $19No $20K
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $2No $12K
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $26Yes $2.3K
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $29No $675