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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| darkumbreon88 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (1753–924, n=2677) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $215K | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #806 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (11 of 15 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (73 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1571 at avg 69¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 151) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 100% of 591) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 52% (won 100% of 811) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | darkumbreon88 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $254 | — | Magic $24K |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $228 | — | Chiefs $60K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $60 | — | Cardinals $35K |