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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
darkumbreon8800gringo00sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)65% (1753–924, n=2677)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$215K$3.5M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #806was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus90% (9 of 10 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (72 of 98 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +43 pts n=44, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=81, ROI +28%
  • Tennis +32 pts n=207, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1571 at avg 69¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 18)0%0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 151)0%50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 100% of 591)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up52% (won 100% of 811)0%0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketdarkumbreon8800gringo00sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $254——Magic $24K
Chiefs vs. Broncos
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $228——Chiefs $465K