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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
drainedandpoor0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN100gringo00
Record (consensus markets)48% (583–624, n=1207)46% (131–154, n=285)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$793K-$6.6M$14.8M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #44was PM monthly #715PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position58% (29 of 50 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +3 pts n=597, ROI +1%
  • NHL +12 pts n=27, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=65, ROI +4%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=52College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won50% of 1206 at avg 47¢, ROI +2%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 22% of 148)0% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 432)42% (won 46% of 565)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%
Entries 50–70¢48% (won 56% of 578)57% (won 51% of 766)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 90% of 48)0% (won 100% of 4)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.