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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)67% (240–117, n=357)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$344K$5.6M$14.8M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #92PM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #69
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position52% (29 of 56 open)68% (49 of 72 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won100% of 190 at avg 62¢, ROI +30%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 5)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2537)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 100% of 34)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5518)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢47% (won 100% of 90)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 8928)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 61)18% (won 67% of 3)32% (won 100% of 7821)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.