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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fkAL | BreakTheBank | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 79% (1291–342, n=1633) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | $920K | $11.0M | -$6.6M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #295 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 87% (143 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 92% of 1730 at avg 73¢, ROI +6% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 72% of 82) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 84% of 281) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 88% of 430) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 98% of 937) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.