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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| forecastication4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (1140–1154, n=2294) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $106K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #321 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 805 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 91% of 35) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 99% of 312) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 100% of 271) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 100% of 187) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | forecastication4 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $1.3K | Cardinals $3.0K | — | — |