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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
forgotmydinner0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)31% (62–135, n=197)61% (495–321, n=816)65% (862–456, n=1318)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$102K-$352K$4.1M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #48was PM monthly #51PM monthly #69was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus70% (73 of 104 open)72% (13 of 18 open)68% (48 of 71 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNBA ±0 pts, n=10Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won20% of 173 at avg 14¢, ROI +19%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢85% (won 7% of 147)15% (won 29% of 125)13% (won 16% of 160)0%
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 71% of 7)34% (won 58% of 283)20% (won 39% of 252)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 100% of 4)43% (won 69% of 354)24% (won 57% of 306)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 100% of 15)7% (won 80% of 60)43% (won 93% of 540)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketforgotmydinner0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816ndb1sainttroplay
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $55—No $335K—
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $7.4KNo $146—
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $113—Yes $525—