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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fyrsken00gringo00sainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)53% (303–264, n=567)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL$23K$3.5M$4.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #808was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=189, ROI +44%
  • NHL +46 pts n=62, ROI +44%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=40, ROI +39%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won96% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 100% of 1)0%0%5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢51% (won 95% of 153)0%50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 96% of 137)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 10)0%0%5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.