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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)93% (1041–82, n=1123)46% (131–154, n=285)61% (395–248, n=643)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$266K$19.1M$4.5M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #253was PM monthly #715PM monthly #68PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Esports +24 pts n=202, ROI +25%
  • MMA +20 pts n=40, ROI +12%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=685, ROI +4%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −12 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won99% of 1003 at avg 86¢, ROI +10%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 94% of 16)0% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 94% of 47)42% (won 46% of 565)56% (won 99% of 223)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 99% of 118)57% (won 51% of 766)33% (won 100% of 133)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up82% (won 100% of 822)0% (won 100% of 4)2% (won 100% of 7)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.