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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| gaven-willwin | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (17–9, n=26) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$135K | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #172 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 27 at avg 80¢, ROI +9% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 50% of 6) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 100% of 20) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | gaven-willwin | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $95K | No $184K | — |