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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| gesst | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (218–159, n=377) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $43K | $5.6M | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #294 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #26 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (2 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 76% (28 of 37 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Mentions −9 pts, n=48 | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 341 at avg 42¢, ROI +3% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 52% (won 7% of 177) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 37% of 30) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 64% of 22) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 95% of 112) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | gesst | joseph00677 | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $204 | — | No $4.0K | — |