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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hammyandcheeseBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)56% (373–295, n=668)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$8.0K$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #878PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)89% (143 of 160 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicMLB −27 pts, n=11——
Settled positions, side won58% of 642 at avg 54¢, ROI +4%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 22% of 18)10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 46% of 184)36% (won 98% of 198)0%
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 61% of 385)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 84% of 55)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.