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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| isco22 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (156–97, n=253) | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | $51K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #693 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 73% (111 of 152 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (16 of 26 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 232 at avg 62¢, ROI +9% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 55% of 33) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 56% (won 74% of 131) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 74% of 68) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | isco22 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu | Alexandra Eala $5.9K | — | — | Claire Liu $12K |