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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
jeremyclarjoseph00677ndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)46% (62–74, n=136)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1101–635, n=1736)51% (28350–27349, n=55699)
Consensus PnL$18K$3.2M$4.6M$1.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #700PM monthly #7PM monthly #109PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position71% (67 of 95 open)64% (47 of 73 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=1034, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=68, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNBA −3 pts, n=69—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won46% of 134 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 50377 at avg 70¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 0% of 3)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)7% (won 99% of 3291)
Entries 30–50¢65% (won 43% of 87)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)18% (won 100% of 9212)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 41% of 29)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)20% (won 100% of 9904)
Entries 70¢ and up11% (won 80% of 15)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)56% (won 100% of 27970)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.