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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677MadridTimesainttroplayUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)51% (786–768, n=1554)no settled market50% (19442–19516, n=38958)
Consensus PnL$5.6M-$9.4K—$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #789—PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (28 of 49 open)no open consensus position64% (30 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
not computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%—100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 100% of 20)—7% (won 99% of 2777)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 63)—20% (won 100% of 8217)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 100% of 83)—22% (won 100% of 8818)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 100% of 201)—51% (won 100% of 20793)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677MadridTimesainttroplayUpTheBlues
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8—Yes $162
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Lukas Pokorny
—Lukas Pokorny $5—Lukas Pokorny $4