← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | RN1 | stepanka1234 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13346–14851, n=28197) | 76% (52–16, n=68) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $14.8M | $32K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #627 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 62% (28 of 45 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 51 at avg 78¢, ROI +20% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 78% (won 100% of 40) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | RN1 | stepanka1234 |
|---|---|---|---|
| W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa | — | Deborah Chiesa $1.2K | Deborah Chiesa $7.8K |