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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | mildwindow27 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 38% (4992–8007, n=12999) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) | 50% (1106–1117, n=2223) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.3M | -$144K | $4.4M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #342 | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 75% (259 of 347 open) | 70% (106 of 151 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | Weather −4 pts, n=1229 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 42% of 4985 at avg 45¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 54% (won 1% of 2673) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 2% (won 43% of 124) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 4% (won 55% of 214) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 40% (won 96% of 1974) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | mildwindow27 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2 | No $2 | — |