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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
keeptheblueflagflyinghighlalalalalalallalalalalandb1primm
Record (consensus markets)42% (113–156, n=269)no settled marketno settled market62% (13–8, n=21)
Consensus PnL$256K——-$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #30PM monthly #736PM monthly #159PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus53% (8 of 15 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
not computed yet
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%—54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 100% of 9)—19% (won 10% of 96)9% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 63)—21% (won 35% of 105)27% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 61)—27% (won 54% of 132)64% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up12% (won 100% of 18)—33% (won 91% of 163)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.