Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
minji0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816joseph00677beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)54% (492–425, n=917)61% (495–321, n=816)53% (10–9, n=19)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$247K-$352K$5.6M$5.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #897was PM monthly #51PM monthly #2was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position80% (12 of 15 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115—NBA −6 pts, n=93
Settled positions, side won54% of 893 at avg 50¢, ROI +4%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 3% of 267)15% (won 29% of 125)12% (won 0% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 31% of 158)34% (won 58% of 283)6% (won 0% of 1)30% (won 57% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 82% of 205)43% (won 69% of 354)65% (won 73% of 11)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 95% of 263)7% (won 80% of 60)18% (won 67% of 3)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.