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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mountaindewdsainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)56% (288–230, n=518)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$174K$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #477 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)no open consensus position53% (63 of 118 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics −2 pts, n=58——
Settled positions, side won71% of 520 at avg 57¢, ROI +12%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 21% of 92)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 65% of 98)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 75% of 145)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 95% of 185)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.