Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mouzsynapseBreakTheBankCORGII0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)46% (1032–1194, n=2226)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (395–248, n=643)61% (495–321, n=816)
Consensus PnL-$8.1K$11.0M$194K-$352K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #955PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus78% (7 of 9 open)86% (134 of 156 open)no open consensus position75% (6 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −6 pts, n=18——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won39% of 1477 at avg 36¢, ROI +1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢38% (won 19% of 564)10% (won 82% of 56)9% (won 92% of 36)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 45% of 540)36% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 53% of 298)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 100% of 133)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 75)19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.