Consensus PnL $34K · win rate 37% (699–1190, n=1889) · was PM monthly #955 · holds 6 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$34.2K
Record
699W / 1190L
Win Rate
37.0%
of 1889 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2429
Source
PM monthly #955
Record (90 d)
638/1700 · 38%
Trades
785
Markets
1,952
Volume
$1.7M
Top consensus positions
6 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 6 on the consensus side (33%)- Big Bash League, Women: Melbourne Stars vs Perth ScorchersMelbourne Stars $730 · now 86¢ · in at 43¢with the consensus (59% of 17)
- Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary StoianaVenus Williams $326 · now 14¢ · in at 12¢against the consensus (Mary Stoiana)
- Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Rinky HijikataLuciano Darderi $313 · now 20¢ · in at 42¢against the consensus (Rinky Hijikata)
- Nepal Premier League: Kathmandu Gurkhas vs Karnali YaksKarnali Yaks $153 · now 0¢ · in at 55¢with the consensus (33% of 16)
- Cricket World Cup League 2: Oman vs NetherlandsOman $46 · now 1¢ · in at 27¢against the consensus (Netherlands)
- Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5Under $12 · now 56¢ · in at 23¢against the consensus (Over)
Specialties
1,477 settled consensus markets · held side won 39% at an average entry of 36¢- Tennis
+3 pts
side won 46% of 300 · avg entry 42¢
ROI +2%
- NFL
+26 pts
side won 70% of 10 · avg entry 44¢
ROI +41%
- Other Sports
+4 pts
side won 53% of 110 · avg entry 48¢
ROI +1%
Weakest: Esports — held side won 44% of 18 at an average 50¢ entry (−6 pts against the price), ROI −2%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 38%(won 19% of 564)
- 30–50¢: 37%(won 45% of 540)
- 50–70¢: 20%(won 53% of 298)
- 70¢ and up: 5%(won 85% of 75)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.