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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | PT-S7 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 89% (397–47, n=444) | 48% (14163–15644, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | -$76K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #807 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (59 of 86 open) | 70% (7 of 10 open) | 55% (28 of 51 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 186 at avg 77¢, ROI +18% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 4% (won 100% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 19% (won 100% of 35) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 76% (won 100% of 142) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | PT-S7 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canucks vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $19 | Canucks $354 |
| Bruins vs. Penguins same side · consensus Penguins | — | Penguins $64 | Penguins $72 |