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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ndb1RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)66% (876–461, n=1337)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)61% (495–320, n=815)
Consensus PnL$2.8M$13.4M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #69PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus69% (49 of 71 open)67% (4 of 6 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicNFL −10 pts, n=132—Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2537)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 39% of 252)22% (won 94% of 5518)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 57% of 306)36% (won 99% of 8928)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up43% (won 93% of 540)32% (won 100% of 7821)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1RN10xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz
opposite sides · consensus Hubert Hurkacz
—Lorenzo Musetti $46KHubert Hurkacz $1.2K
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $159—Yes $7.5K