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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| ndb1 | RadioCCOD | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–576, n=1569) | 40% (124–189, n=313) | 48% (14234–15729, n=29963) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $30K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #926 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (52 of 75 open) | 80% (165 of 206 open) | 48% (12 of 25 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Soccer −1 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 40% of 248 at avg 20¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 73% (won 23% of 182) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 10% (won 81% of 26) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 13% (won 94% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 4% (won 100% of 9) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RadioCCOD | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $358 | Yes $1 | — |