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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RadioCCOD | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 40% (124–189, n=313) | 48% (14167–15642, n=29809) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $31K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #958 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (52 of 73 open) | no open consensus position | 82% (159 of 193 open) | 60% (27 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | Soccer −1 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 40% of 248 at avg 20¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 73% (won 23% of 182) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 10% (won 81% of 26) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 13% (won 94% of 31) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 4% (won 100% of 9) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RadioCCOD | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $358 | — | Yes $1 | — |