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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)63% (1101–635, n=1736)47% (1413–1577, n=2990)42% (120–168, n=288)
Consensus PnL$4.6M$3.7M$42K
Tracked asPM monthly #110PM monthly #40PM monthly #578
Sides with the consensus71% (67 of 95 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −7 pts, n=158—Soccer −4 pts, n=243
Settled positions, side won66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%40% of 247 at avg 43¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 196)5% (won 95% of 59)49% (won 5% of 122)
Entries 30–50¢18% (won 40% of 283)40% (won 99% of 512)11% (won 21% of 28)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 58% of 348)50% (won 100% of 633)4% (won 70% of 10)
Entries 70¢ and up46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 100% of 65)35% (won 91% of 87)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.