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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nomoredreamRN100gringo00joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)65% (245–132, n=377)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)75% (6–2, n=8)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$54K$14.8M$3.5M$5.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #491PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (30 of 56 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won76% of 375 at avg 66¢, ROI +9%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 10% of 40)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 45% of 40)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 73% of 94)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 96% of 201)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.