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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
nonkenny9000gringo00RN1pleaseplease123
Record (consensus markets)91% (4755–463, n=5218)75% (6–2, n=8)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)51% (196–192, n=388)
Consensus PnL$87K$3.5M$13.4M$5.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #959was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #92
Sides with the consensus95% (110 of 116 open)no open consensus position71% (5 of 7 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • F1 +7 pts n=36, ROI +16%
  • Science +6 pts n=33, ROI +13%
  • NFL +3 pts n=40, ROI +1%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicFinance −3 pts, n=168——MLB −1 pts, n=694
Settled positions, side won93% of 5633 at avg 92¢, ROI +2%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 8% of 39)0%10% (won 57% of 2537)0% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 30% of 43)0%22% (won 94% of 5518)38% (won 43% of 266)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 57% of 134)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8928)61% (won 54% of 426)
Entries 70¢ and up96% (won 95% of 5417)0%32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.