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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pagliacci4 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 96% (1650–75, n=1725) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #959 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 96% (23 of 24 open) | 55% (76 of 137 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pagliacci4 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|
| Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | No $2.0K | No $5.9K |
| Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | Yes $1.4K |