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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorppagliacci4RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)96% (1650–75, n=1725)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$11K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #959PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (159 of 219 open)96% (23 of 24 open)57% (83 of 145 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%—94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)—10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)—22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)—35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)—33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorppagliacci4RN1
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $7.5KNo $2.0KNo $5.9K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9KYes $1.9KYes $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Colts $63—Cowboys $4.9K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Racing Club de Lens
Racing Club de Lens $4.2K—Olympique de Marseille $3
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.9K—Yes $122
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $859—Over $3.0K
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.6K—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04 $2.2K—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $468
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-11-09?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.5K—No $44
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia Cavaliers $1.7K—Arkansas Razorbacks $347
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $446—Under $1.4K
Brown Bears vs. Lehigh Mountain Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Brown Bears $299—Lehigh Mountain Hawks $1.2K
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K—No $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $471—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Arkansas Razorbacks $231—Virginia Cavaliers $564
Beşiktaş JK vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $618—Over $18
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Cavaliers
Arkansas Razorbacks $349—Virginia Cavaliers $2
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $334—Under $7
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas Razorbacks $6—Virginia Cavaliers $49
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $76K—No $4.7K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $17K—No $14K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $7.9K
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7.1K—Over $10K
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $8.5K—No $8.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5)
same side · consensus CF Universidad de Chile
CD Cobresal $10K—CD Cobresal $3.5K
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.2K—Yes $360
Will NEC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $5.9K—No $2.5K
Will Vitória SC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K—No $1.7K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.3K—No $2.9K
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.4K—Over $3.5K
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.8K—Yes $1.8K
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $934—No $4.3K
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K—No $366
Knoxville: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee
same side · consensus Andres Martin
Andres Martin $2.4K—Andres Martin $19
Princeton Tigers vs. Siena Saints
same side · consensus Siena Saints
Siena Saints $1.5K—Siena Saints $920
Vitória SC vs. FC Porto: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.1K—Under $28
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
same side · consensus TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $2.0K—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $26
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-11-09?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.4K—Yes $234
Butler Bulldogs vs. Boise State Broncos
same side · consensus Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos $1.2K—Boise State Broncos $436
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $814—76ers $371
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $771—No $296
CD Ñublense vs. CSD Colo-Colo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $945—Under $2
Will KKS Lech Poznan win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $792—No $123