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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
poposubBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)36% (580–1038, n=1618)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$12K$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #384PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 3 open)72% (79 of 110 open)
Strongest topics
  • F1 +14 pts n=35, ROI +21%
  • Soccer +7 pts n=764, ROI −7%
  • Elections +3 pts n=88, ROI +3%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=10—
Settled positions, side won66% of 1153 at avg 61¢, ROI −6%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢28% (won 13% of 325)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 59% of 137)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢7% (won 71% of 84)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up53% (won 96% of 607)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketpoposubBreakTheBank
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $279Yes $38K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $888No $24K