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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
poshposh00gringo00sainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (6800–3997, n=10797)75% (6–2, n=8)71% (10–4, n=14)47% (13855–15338, n=29193)
Consensus PnL$393K$3.5M$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +45 pts n=160, ROI +45%
  • NFL +36 pts n=82, ROI +36%
  • Tennis +32 pts n=423, ROI +32%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 2922 at avg 70¢, ROI +32%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 99% of 146)0%0%10% (won 57% of 2537)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 100% of 454)0%50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5518)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 100% of 744)100% (won 86% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8928)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 100% of 1578)0%0%32% (won 100% of 7821)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketposhposh00gringo00sainttroplayRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Tatiana Prozorova
same side · consensus Claire Liu
Claire Liu $394——Claire Liu $45K