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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
saintaphextwinsainttroplay00gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)41% (427–623, n=1050)71% (10–4, n=14)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$12K$4.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #384was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus72% (13 of 18 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position89% (143 of 160 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won89% of 479 at avg 47¢, ROI +33%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 61% of 76)0%0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢39% (won 96% of 188)50% (won 100% of 5)0%36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 95% of 181)50% (won 100% of 5)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 88% of 34)0%0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsaintaphextwinsainttroplay00gringo00BreakTheBank
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $19K——No $407K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22K——Yes $13K