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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
seal700gringo00beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)52% (287–264, n=551)75% (6–2, n=8)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$124K$3.5M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #364was PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus63% (10 of 16 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicGeopolitics −4 pts, n=89—NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won53% of 525 at avg 44¢, ROI +8%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 12% of 210)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢15% (won 49% of 78)0%29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 87% of 76)100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 161)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.