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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
suntorisurfandturfbeachboy40x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)45% (10678–13018, n=23696)52% (273–252, n=525)68% (43–20, n=63)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$208K$4.1M$5.8M$19.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #792was PM monthly #326was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus53% (85 of 160 open)0% (0 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCrypto −3 pts, n=3302NFL −11 pts, n=58NBA −6 pts, n=93College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 9% of 3590)20% (won 12% of 109)3% (won 17% of 6)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 36% of 2197)21% (won 46% of 114)30% (won 57% of 63)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢25% (won 59% of 2489)33% (won 60% of 176)54% (won 51% of 115)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 88% of 1874)26% (won 82% of 137)14% (won 86% of 29)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketsuntorisurfandturfbeachboy40x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $83No $2.7K——
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.5KYes $2.3K——